Is the Stock Bear Market under Covid over?

Is the Stock Bear Market under Covid over?

The answer to the above topic, “Stock Bear Market under Covid is over or not”, is YES. We will analyse the topic in this blog post and get the answer to the question- is the Shortest Bear Market in Stocks over?
Below mentioned is a snapshot of all the Bear Markets in Stocks so far (source: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/sp-500-market-crashes/):
End of the shortest Bear Market
Following observations can be made from the above Bear Markets chart:
1. Maximum drop during a Bear Market was 86%. This happened during Black Tuesday/ Great Crash. This Bear Market drop during Sep 16, 1929 — Sept 22, 1954 lasted for 7,256 trading days.
2. The latest Bear Market drop for Covid- 19 lasted for only 154 trading days (as per the chart below). This latest Bear Market drop was for 35.71% (as per the chart below).
The latest Bear Market drop started from Feb 20, 2020 in S&P 500 stock index. The highest value of S&P index was 3,397.20 on Feb 20, 2020. It dropped to 2,184.19 on Mar 22, 2020. S&P 500 index reached the high of 3,397.20 again on Aug 19, 2020 (as per the chart below).
Is the Stock Bear Market under Covid over?
Our observation here is: like the GFC Bear Market got over during the week number 15 (from 08-Apr-2013 to 13-Apr-2013), the recent Bear Market has also got over during the week number 17 (from 17-Aug-2020 to 21-Aug-2020) when it reached and surpassed the value of 3,397.20.

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Partha

Partha Banerjee is the Founder, Principal Trader, and Director of N P Financials Pty Ltd, one of Australia’s most respected ASIC-regulated proprietary trading and trader-training firms and an AFSL holder. With decades of experience across multiple market cycles, Partha is known for his disciplined, structure-first trading approach, grounded in transparency, risk management, and real-market execution.

He actively trades the same strategies he teaches, specialising across Forex, Equities, Commodities, Indices, Cryptocurrencies, and intraday markets. Under his leadership, N P Financials has become a globally recognised trading education and proprietary trading organisation, earning multiple national and international awards for regulatory excellence, educational depth, and long-term trader outcomes.

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